Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 02/11, 16:00
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Shunsuke Mitsui
Team pages: Daniel Milavsky · Shunsuke Mitsui
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
5-5 (W-L)
Shunsuke Mitsui
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1483 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1505
| Daniel Milavsky | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.3 | 8.9-8.5 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/10 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Govind Nanda Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Mitchell Krueger M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Ryan Colby Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Our model gives 57% to Daniel Milavsky, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.