Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 02/11, 10:00
Prediction: Ryan Peniston vs Marcus Walters
Team pages: Ryan Peniston · Marcus Walters
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Peniston
Marcus Walters
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Peniston
3-7 (W-L)
Marcus Walters
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryan Peniston
1–0
Marcus Walters
(1 last)
- 04 Dec2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Peniston 1427 · Marcus Walters 1528
| Ryan Peniston | Marcus Walters | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcus Walters (rating 1427 vs 1528).
- Marcus Walters is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ryan Peniston 1–0 Marcus Walters (1).
Statistics
| Ryan Peniston | Marcus Walters | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-11.4 | 12.5-11 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 71% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Ryan Peniston 1 – 0 Marcus Walters (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryan Peniston 1–0 Marcus Walters
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/19 ITF M15 Tallahassee | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Peniston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniel Jade Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/02 | Max Basing M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
Marcus Walters
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Moez Echargui Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 26/10 | Sean Hodkin M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Jared Horwood M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Hugo Grenier M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Thomas Kostka M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Peniston vs Marcus Walters?
Our model gives 52% to Ryan Peniston, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.