Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 02/11, 02:00
Prediction: Anri Nagata vs Mua Shigeta
Team pages: Anri Nagata · Mua Shigeta
Prediction summary
Winner
Anri Nagata
Mua Shigeta
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Anri Nagata
0-10 (W-L)
Mua Shigeta
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anri Nagata
0–1
Mua Shigeta
(1 last)
- 26 Apr0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anri Nagata 1406 · Mua Shigeta 1488
| Anri Nagata | Mua Shigeta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mua Shigeta (rating 1406 vs 1488).
- Mua Shigeta is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Anri Nagata 0–1 Mua Shigeta (1).
Statistics
| Anri Nagata | Mua Shigeta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.6-11.2 | 8.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53.2% | 49.5% |
| Break % | 41% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Anri Nagata 0 – 1 Mua Shigeta (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anri Nagata 0–1 Mua Shigeta
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/23 W15 Fukui | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anri Nagata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Yingqun Sun W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Jiangxue Han W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Suzuna Oigawa W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 07/09 | Yuka Matsumoto W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 09/08 | Sophie Bekker W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Reina Goto W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Mua Shigeta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Tsuki Shibutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Rio Otaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Kokoa Nakao UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Uri Goshima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Rio Maeda UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/07 | Seri Nayuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Yui Ohwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Chinari Kobayashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaili Demi Teso UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anri Nagata vs Mua Shigeta?
Our model gives 51% to Anri Nagata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.