Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 01/11, 19:00
Prediction: Oliver Okonkwo vs James Trotter
Team pages: Oliver Okonkwo · James Trotter
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliver Okonkwo
James Trotter
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Okonkwo
9-1 (W-L)
James Trotter
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Okonkwo 1541 · James Trotter 1503
| Oliver Okonkwo | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Oliver Okonkwo dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 53.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Oliver Okonkwo | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11 | 10.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 73% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Okonkwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Noah Johnston M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Andres Martin Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Andrei Caragea UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Noah Richer UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Chad Miller UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Vincent Yang UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
James Trotter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ozan Baris Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 25/10 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Federico Cina Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Okonkwo vs James Trotter?
Our model gives 65% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.