Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 02/11, 02:00
Prediction: Shiho Tsujioka vs Yuka Matsumoto
Team pages: Shiho Tsujioka · Yuka Matsumoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Shiho Tsujioka
Yuka Matsumoto
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Shiho Tsujioka
4-6 (W-L)
Yuka Matsumoto
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Shiho Tsujioka
1–0
Yuka Matsumoto
(1 last)
- 01 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shiho Tsujioka 1450 · Yuka Matsumoto 1550
| Shiho Tsujioka | Yuka Matsumoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuka Matsumoto (rating 1450 vs 1550).
- Yuka Matsumoto is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Shiho Tsujioka 1–0 Yuka Matsumoto (1).
Statistics
| Shiho Tsujioka | Yuka Matsumoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.9 | 11-9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Shiho Tsujioka 1 – 0 Yuka Matsumoto (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shiho Tsujioka 1–0 Yuka Matsumoto
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shiho Tsujioka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Yujia Huang W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Arina Varaksina W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Kurumi Tamura W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mao Mushika W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Cherry Kim W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 28/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Yuka Matsumoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Aditi Rawat W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Minxu Zhou W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Jing-Jing Lu W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Saily Prashantkumar Thakkar W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anna Bazderova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Ingrid C Millan W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Nadine Hamrouni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Louanne Djafari W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shiho Tsujioka vs Yuka Matsumoto?
Our model gives 57% to Shiho Tsujioka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.