Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 02/11, 22:00
Prediction: Lukas Palovic vs Bautista Leguizamon
Team pages: Lukas Palovic · Bautista Leguizamon
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Palovic
Bautista Leguizamon
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Palovic
6-4 (W-L)
Bautista Leguizamon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Palovic 1566 · Bautista Leguizamon 1469
| Lukas Palovic | Bautista Leguizamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lukas Palovic (rating 1566 vs 1469).
- Lukas Palovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lukas Palovic | Bautista Leguizamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.5 | 9.2-11 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 63.1% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Palovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Gabriel Elicha Navas UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/09 | Marcin Andrzejczak UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Harrison Lee UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Ilan Hediger UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Botond Kisantal UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tomas Zlatohlavek UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/11 | Bozo Barun UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Bautista Leguizamon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Ludovico Vaccari UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Luciano Larosa UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Gray Voelzke UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Thiago Guglieri UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Andres Medus UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Juan Bautista Otegui UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Francisco Jose Gay UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Thiago Guglieri UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Palovic vs Bautista Leguizamon?
Our model gives 74% to Lukas Palovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.