Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 02/11, 20:30
Prediction: Gabriel Elicha Navas vs Nicolas Oliveira
Team pages: Gabriel Elicha Navas · Nicolas Oliveira
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriel Elicha Navas
Nicolas Oliveira
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriel Elicha Navas
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolas Oliveira
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriel Elicha Navas 1541 · Nicolas Oliveira 1462
| Gabriel Elicha Navas | Nicolas Oliveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriel Elicha Navas (rating 1541 vs 1462).
- Gabriel Elicha Navas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gabriel Elicha Navas | Nicolas Oliveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.9 | 10.6-11 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 62.9% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriel Elicha Navas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Tito Chavez M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Lukas Palovic UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Kasper Kulpa UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Szymon Malecki UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Felix Obermair UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Christopher Thies UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/11 | James Weber UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Nicolas Oliveira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Sean Daryabeigi M25 Norman |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Andre Souza M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriel Elicha Navas vs Nicolas Oliveira?
Our model gives 56% to Nicolas Oliveira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.