Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 02/11, 16:00
Prediction: Harry Wendelken vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Harry Wendelken · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Harry Wendelken
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Harry Wendelken
3-7 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harry Wendelken 1472 · Andy Andrade 1517
| Harry Wendelken | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andy Andrade (rating 1472 vs 1517).
- Note: Harry Wendelken makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Harry Wendelken | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.6 | 10.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Angel Veliz Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 28/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 26/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Stefano Travaglia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Toby Samuel Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harry Wendelken vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 57% to Andy Andrade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.