Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 01/11, 23:30
Prediction: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Kenta Miyoshi
Team pages: Dominick Mosejczuk · Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominick Mosejczuk
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Dominick Mosejczuk
8-2 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominick Mosejczuk 1575 · Kenta Miyoshi 1478
| Dominick Mosejczuk | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominick Mosejczuk (rating 1575 vs 1478).
- Dominick Mosejczuk is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dominick Mosejczuk | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.3 | 12.7-13.5 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominick Mosejczuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Charlie Swaine M25 Norman |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 18/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Austin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Shu Matsuoka M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Jonah Braswell M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/10 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kenta Miyoshi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 20/10 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/10 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Moerani Bouzige Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominick Mosejczuk vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 52% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.