Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 04/11, 03:30
Prediction: Haru Kawanaka vs Taiyo Uenoyama
Team pages: Haru Kawanaka · Taiyo Uenoyama
Prediction summary
Winner
Haru Kawanaka
Taiyo Uenoyama
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Haru Kawanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Taiyo Uenoyama
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Haru Kawanaka
0–1
Taiyo Uenoyama
(1 last)
- 13 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haru Kawanaka 1462 · Taiyo Uenoyama 1595
| Haru Kawanaka | Taiyo Uenoyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taiyo Uenoyama (rating 1462 vs 1595).
- Taiyo Uenoyama is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Haru Kawanaka 0–1 Taiyo Uenoyama (1).
- Note: Haru Kawanaka makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Haru Kawanaka | Taiyo Uenoyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.2 | 10.8-6.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 63.3% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Haru Kawanaka 0 – 1 Taiyo Uenoyama (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Haru Kawanaka 0–1 Taiyo Uenoyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/25 UTR Pro Yokohama | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haru Kawanaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Tokitaka Ito UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/11 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Ryusei Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Aruth Chinsupakul UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/10 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Taiyo Hirano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Taiyo Uenoyama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Tokitaka Ito UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Nuutti Jokinen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haru Kawanaka vs Taiyo Uenoyama?
Our model gives 78% to Taiyo Uenoyama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.