Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 01/11, 20:30
Prediction: Andrew Fenty vs Karl Poling
Team pages: Andrew Fenty · Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Fenty
Karl Poling
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Fenty
6-4 (W-L)
Karl Poling
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrew Fenty
2–0
Karl Poling
(2 last)
- 28 Jun2-0 12-6W
- 13 Oct2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Fenty 1500 · Karl Poling 1479
| Andrew Fenty | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Andrew Fenty 2–0 Karl Poling (2).
Statistics
| Andrew Fenty | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.2 | 11-11.1 |
| Aces | 5 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 26.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Andrew Fenty 2 – 0 Karl Poling (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrew Fenty 2–0 Karl Poling
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Challenger Cary | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10/25 Challenger Lincoln | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Fenty
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Timo Legout Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Cooper Woestendick Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Austin |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Michael Antonius M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Karl Poling
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Sebastian Dominko Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/10 | Maxwell Exsted Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Fenty vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 57% to Andrew Fenty, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.