Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 01/11, 16:00
Prediction: Joshua Sheehy vs Justin Boulais
Team pages: Joshua Sheehy · Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
Joshua Sheehy
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Joshua Sheehy
3-7 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joshua Sheehy
0–1
Justin Boulais
(1 last)
- 30 Jul0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joshua Sheehy 1395 · Justin Boulais 1437
| Joshua Sheehy | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justin Boulais (rating 1395 vs 1437).
- Head-to-head: Joshua Sheehy 0–1 Justin Boulais (1).
- Note: Joshua Sheehy makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Joshua Sheehy | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 11% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-14 | 11.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 67% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Joshua Sheehy 0 – 1 Justin Boulais (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joshua Sheehy 0–1 Justin Boulais
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/23 Challenger Lexington | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joshua Sheehy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Aidan Mchugh Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Kelly Giese Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Justin Boulais
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Sebastian Dominko Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Theo Arribage Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Matis Roche Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joshua Sheehy vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 63% to Justin Boulais, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.