Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 01/11, 19:00
Prediction: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
Team pages: Jangjun Kim · Ozan Baris
Prediction summary
Winner
Jangjun Kim
Ozan Baris
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jangjun Kim
6-4 (W-L)
Ozan Baris
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jangjun Kim 1517 · Ozan Baris 1466
| Jangjun Kim | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jangjun Kim (rating 1517 vs 1466).
Statistics
| Jangjun Kim | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.1 | 10.9-12 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 78.7% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jangjun Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Billy Harris Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Fanming Meng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/10 | James Trotter Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 25/10 | Hunter Heck Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 54% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.