Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova
Team pages: Thiago Cigarran · Hernan Casanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Cigarran
Hernan Casanova
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran
7-3 (W-L)
Hernan Casanova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Cigarran
1–0
Hernan Casanova
(1 last)
- 27 Nov2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1529 · Hernan Casanova 1454
| Thiago Cigarran | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1529 vs 1454).
- Thiago Cigarran is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Hernan Casanova (1).
Statistics
| Thiago Cigarran | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.8 | 9.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Thiago Cigarran 1 – 0 Hernan Casanova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/19 ITF M15 Maldonado | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Boris Arias Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Anders Matta Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Santiago Pesino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Karim Bennani M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexandre Bobiere Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova?
Our model gives 60% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.