Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: Rocco Valente vs Ryo Tabata

Team pages: Rocco Valente · Ryo Tabata

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Rocco Valente Ryo Tabata
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rocco Valente 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWL
Ryo Tabata 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rocco Valente 1557 · Ryo Tabata 1497
Rocco ValenteRyo Tabata
Our model59%41%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rocco Valente (rating 1557 vs 1497).

Statistics

Rocco ValenteRyo Tabata
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.2-1
Games (G-P)12.9-10.910.1-9.3
Aces1.41.4
Double faults2.62.5
1st serve %63.8%60.9%
Break %57.6%42.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rocco Valente

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Ignacio Monzon
M15 Joao Pessoa
1-2 15-16 L
26/10 Enzo Crevelaro
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-0 12-7 W
22/10 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Maceio
0-2 8-12 L
20/10 Fermin Tenti
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-4 W
19/10 Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini
M15 Maceio
2-0 13-9 W
10/10 Lorenzo Gagliardo
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
09/10 Nereo Suarez
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
08/10 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-1 17-16 W
07/10 Pablo Mikito Mitoma
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
05/10 Fantino Alberca De Las Casas
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 14-11 W

Ryo Tabata

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Jannik Opitz
M25 Slobozia
0-1 6-7 L
29/09 Gabriel Ghetu
M25 Slobozia
2-0 12-7 W
20/09 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/09 Adrian Andreev
M25 Zlatibor
1-2 8-12 L
17/09 Kalin Ivanovski
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 11-7 W
07/08 Egor Pleshivtsev
M15 Astana
1-2 18-19 L
04/08 Danial Rakhmatullayev
M15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
30/07 Amir Omarkhanov
M15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
01/07 Lucca C Pignaton
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rocco Valente vs Ryo Tabata?

Our model gives 58% to Ryo Tabata, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.