Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 01/11, 12:30

Prediction: Janika K Alzugaray vs Laura Svatikova

Team pages: Janika K Alzugaray · Laura Svatikova

Prediction summary
Winner
19% 81%
Janika K Alzugaray Laura Svatikova
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Janika K Alzugaray 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLLL
Laura Svatikova 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Janika K Alzugaray 1395 · Laura Svatikova 1550
Janika K AlzugarayLaura Svatikova
Our model29%71%
Market11%89%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Svatikova (rating 1395 vs 1550).
  • Laura Svatikova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Janika K Alzugaray makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Janika K AlzugarayLaura Svatikova
Win %10%70%
Win % · Hard 13% (8) –
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.81.4-0.6
Games (G-P)7.1-11.410.3-6.7
Aces0.4–
Double faults4.8–
1st serve %55.8%–
Break %64.2%–
Estimated total games (ours) 18.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Janika K Alzugaray

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Maria Rentoumi
W50 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Anna Ozerova
W35 Krakow
0-2 5-12 L
09/06 Aleksandra Melnikova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
02/06 Irina Khayndrava
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 9-10 L
10/05 Ania Hertel
W75 Trnava
1-2 14-16 L
08/05 Adela Polakovicova
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
04/05 Petra Sedlackova
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
03/05 Iaroslava Sviatetckaia
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/04 Sara Gvozdenovic
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/04 Anastasiia Hnidets
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Laura Svatikova

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Amarissa Kiara Toth
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/10 Alisa Baranovska
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/10 Kristina Kovgan
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/10 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
12/10 Emilija Miljkovic
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/10 Mia Horvit
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
09/10 Denise Hrdinkova
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
08/10 Milica Stosovic
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
06/10 Mariya Yemshanova
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/10 Kristina Kovgan
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Janika K Alzugaray vs Laura Svatikova?

Our model gives 81% to Laura Svatikova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.