Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 01/11, 14:00
Prediction: Tomas Farjat vs Valentin Basel
Team pages: Tomas Farjat · Valentin Basel
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Farjat
Valentin Basel
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Farjat
6-4 (W-L)
Valentin Basel
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tomas Farjat
2–1
Valentin Basel
(3 last)
- 02 Jun2-0 12-4W
- 15 May1-2 14-19L
- 09 May2-1 14-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Farjat 1482 · Valentin Basel 1495
| Tomas Farjat | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tomas Farjat dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tomas Farjat 2–1 Valentin Basel (3).
Statistics
| Tomas Farjat | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.4 | 10.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Tomas Farjat 2 – 1 Valentin Basel (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tomas Farjat 2–1 Valentin Basel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/24 Challenger Santa Fe | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/05/24 ITF M15 Neuquen | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 09/05/24 ITF M25 Trelew | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Farjat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Nicolas Alberto Jara Lozano UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Luciano Doria UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/10 | Valentino Conte UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Nicolas Garcia Longo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Tim Handel M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 22/07 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Valentin Garay Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Valentin Basel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Santiago Pesino M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Mateus Napoli da Silveira M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Enzo Lima M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/08 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Farjat vs Valentin Basel?
Our model gives 53% to Valentin Basel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.