Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Dante Pagani vs Murkel Dellien
Team pages: Dante Pagani · Murkel Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Dante Pagani
Murkel Dellien
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dante Pagani
3-7 (W-L)
Murkel Dellien
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dante Pagani 1462 · Murkel Dellien 1432
| Dante Pagani | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dante Pagani | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.4 | 7.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dante Pagani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Tomas Martinez M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/10 | Juan Pablo Ficovich M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Maceio |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Lucio Ratti M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Valentin Garay M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Murkel Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Jack Loge M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dante Pagani vs Murkel Dellien?
Our model gives 57% to Murkel Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.