Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 01/11, 18:30
Prediction: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
Team pages: Valentin Garay · Nicolas Bruna
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Garay
Nicolas Bruna
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Garay
4-6 (W-L)
Nicolas Bruna
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Garay 1436 · Nicolas Bruna 1515
| Valentin Garay | Nicolas Bruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolas Bruna (rating 1436 vs 1515).
- Nicolas Bruna is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Valentin Garay | Nicolas Bruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.4-9.7 | 12.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 47% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Garay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Bastian Malla M15 Joao Pessoa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Vicente Jose Benitez M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 19/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Belem |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Cunha Cunha M15 Leme |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 31/08 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Trelew |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 11/05 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Juan Bautista Torres M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Nicolas Bruna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Bastian Malla M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Denis Klok M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Rocco Valente M15 Leme |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna?
Our model gives 67% to Nicolas Bruna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.