Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Martineau vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Matteo Martineau · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Martineau
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Martineau
5-5 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Martineau 1507 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1534
| Matteo Martineau | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matteo Martineau dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 43.2% break avg.
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Martineau | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-13.6 | 12.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Setubal |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Martineau vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 58% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.