Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Michele Ribecai
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Michele Ribecai
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Michele Ribecai
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
6-4 (W-L)
Michele Ribecai
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1486 · Michele Ribecai 1525
| Maxim Mrva | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.4 | 11.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Filippo Romano Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Max Houkes Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Michele Ribecai?
Our model gives 51% to Michele Ribecai, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.