Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 03/11, 10:00

Prediction: Florent Bax vs Gianluca Cadenasso

Team pages: Florent Bax · Gianluca Cadenasso

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Florent Bax Gianluca Cadenasso
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Bax 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWWL
Gianluca Cadenasso 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1545 · Gianluca Cadenasso 1576
Florent BaxGianluca Cadenasso
Our model46%54%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Florent BaxGianluca Cadenasso
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay – 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.6-0.9
Games (G-P)12.3-6.713.8-11.3
Aces5.42.5
Double faults1.63
1st serve %78.3%69.3%
Break %65%48.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Florent Bax

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/10 Jack Loge
M25 Luanda · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
22/10 Parth Aggarwal
M25 Luanda · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/10 Melvin Vix
M25 Luanda · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
17/10 Jack Loge
M25 Luanda · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
16/10 Allan Gatoto
M25 Luanda · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
15/10 Ruslan Serazhetdinov
M25 Luanda · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/10 Adam Bajurko
M25 Luanda · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
09/10 Dev Javia
M25 Kigali
1-2 15-16 L
08/10 Claude Ishimwe
M25 Kigali
2-0 12-1 W
07/10 Anup Bangargi
M25 Kigali
2-0 12-3 W

Gianluca Cadenasso

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Florence · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/10 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
17/10 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/10 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
15/10 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
13/10 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
07/10 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Palermo · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
06/10 Filippo Moroni
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
30/09 Lorenzo Angelini
Challenger Bari · Clay
2-1 17-10 W
29/09 Benito Sanchez Martinez
Challenger Bari · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Gianluca Cadenasso?

Our model gives 52% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.