Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Federico Bondioli
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Federico Bondioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Federico Bondioli
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
4-6 (W-L)
Federico Bondioli
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jay Clarke
1–0
Federico Bondioli
(1 last)
- 18 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1515 · Federico Bondioli 1521
| Jay Clarke | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jay Clarke 1–0 Federico Bondioli (1).
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.1 | 11.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 38% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Jay Clarke 1 – 0 Federico Bondioli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jay Clarke 1–0 Federico Bondioli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/25 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Federico Bondioli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Francesco Forti Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Federico Bondioli?
Our model gives 56% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.