Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Hugo Grenier · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Grenier
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier
6-4 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1497 · Marvin Moeller 1557
| Hugo Grenier | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1497 vs 1557).
- Hugo Grenier dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 50.7% break avg.
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Marvin Moeller makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Grenier | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.1 | 13.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Bruno Pujol Navarro Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 55% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.