Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Sumit Nagal vs Georgii Kravchenko
Team pages: Sumit Nagal · Georgii Kravchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Sumit Nagal
Georgii Kravchenko
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sumit Nagal
3-7 (W-L)
Georgii Kravchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sumit Nagal
0–1
Georgii Kravchenko
(1 last)
- 27 Jun0-2 0-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sumit Nagal 1447 · Georgii Kravchenko 1572
| Sumit Nagal | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Georgii Kravchenko (rating 1447 vs 1572).
- Georgii Kravchenko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sumit Nagal 0–1 Georgii Kravchenko (1).
Statistics
| Sumit Nagal | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.6 | 13.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Sumit Nagal 0 – 1 Georgii Kravchenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sumit Nagal 0–1 Georgii Kravchenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/22 Challenger Luedenscheid | 0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Seong Chan Hong Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Soonwoo Kwon Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Hyeon Chung Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Georgii Kravchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Garrett Johns M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Malta |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Malta |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Olbia · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniel Masur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexander Donski Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumit Nagal vs Georgii Kravchenko?
Our model gives 60% to Georgii Kravchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.