Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
8-2 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1544 · Lorenzo Giustino 1523
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.1 | 12.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 47% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/10 | Diogo Morais Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 58% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.