Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Maestrelli vs Francesco Forti
Team pages: Francesco Maestrelli · Francesco Forti
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli
Francesco Forti
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Maestrelli
5-5 (W-L)
Francesco Forti
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesco Maestrelli
1–2
Francesco Forti
(3 last)
- 08 Aug2-0 12-6W
- 24 Nov1-2 13-16L
- 11 Feb0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Maestrelli 1479 · Francesco Forti 1512
| Francesco Maestrelli | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Francesco Maestrelli dominates on serve: 9.6 aces and 45.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Francesco Maestrelli 1–2 Francesco Forti (3).
Statistics
| Francesco Maestrelli | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.6 | 11.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 65% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Francesco Maestrelli 1 – 2 Francesco Forti (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesco Maestrelli 1–2 Francesco Forti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/23 Challenger Cordenons | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/11/21 Challenger Bari | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/02/21 ITF M15 Nur-Sultan | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Maestrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Arthur Nagel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Francesco Forti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/10 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Maestrelli vs Francesco Forti?
Our model gives 56% to Francesco Maestrelli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.