Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 01/11, 13:00
Prediction: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist
Team pages: Matteo Sciahbasi · Arvid Nordquist
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Sciahbasi
Arvid Nordquist
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Sciahbasi
3-7 (W-L)
Arvid Nordquist
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Sciahbasi 1486 · Arvid Nordquist 1568
| Matteo Sciahbasi | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arvid Nordquist (rating 1486 vs 1568).
Statistics
| Matteo Sciahbasi | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.5 | 13.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 69% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 64.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Sciahbasi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/10 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Nikodije Trivunac M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Cosimo Banti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Arvid Nordquist
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Noah Thurner M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | James Connel M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Pavel Savelov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Giulio Perego Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist?
Our model gives 60% to Arvid Nordquist, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.