Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 01/11, 13:00
Prediction: Sebastian Gima vs Ryan Peniston
Team pages: Sebastian Gima · Ryan Peniston
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gima
Ryan Peniston
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gima
6-4 (W-L)
Ryan Peniston
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sebastian Gima
0–1
Ryan Peniston
(1 last)
- 26 Nov0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gima 1540 · Ryan Peniston 1416
| Sebastian Gima | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Gima (rating 1540 vs 1416).
- Sebastian Gima is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sebastian Gima 0–1 Ryan Peniston (1).
Statistics
| Sebastian Gima | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.6 | 7.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Sebastian Gima 0 – 1 Ryan Peniston (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sebastian Gima 0–1 Ryan Peniston
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/20 M15 Heraklion | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Maximus Jones Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Iannis Miletich M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/10 | Jannik Opitz M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Ryan Peniston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniel Jade Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/02 | Max Basing M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 19/02 | Francisco Rocha M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gima vs Ryan Peniston?
Our model gives 51% to Ryan Peniston, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.