Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 01/11, 11:30
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Filiberto Fumagalli
Team pages: Tiago Pereira · Filiberto Fumagalli
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Pereira
Filiberto Fumagalli
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Filiberto Fumagalli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1472 · Filiberto Fumagalli 1499
| Tiago Pereira | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Filiberto Fumagalli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-14.1 | 9.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 06/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Yuto Oki M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Filiberto Fumagalli?
Our model gives 64% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.