Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 01/11, 10:00
Prediction: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Ziga Sesko
Team pages: Rafael Izquierdo Luque · Ziga Sesko
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Ziga Sesko
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
3-7 (W-L)
Ziga Sesko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1408 · Ziga Sesko 1499
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Ziga Sesko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ziga Sesko (rating 1408 vs 1499).
- Ziga Sesko is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Ziga Sesko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.1 | 9.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Joao Domingues M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ziga Sesko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Filip Krolo M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/10 | David Eichenseher M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniel Verbeek M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Vasco Leote Prata M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Trier |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Maxime Chazal M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Ziga Sesko?
Our model gives 62% to Ziga Sesko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.