Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · 03/11, 20:00
Prediction: Olga Bienzobas Fernandez vs Lauren Nolan
Team pages: Olga Bienzobas Fernandez · Lauren Nolan
Prediction summary
Winner
Olga Bienzobas Fernandez
Lauren Nolan
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Olga Bienzobas Fernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Lauren Nolan
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olga Bienzobas Fernandez 1477 · Lauren Nolan 1560
| Olga Bienzobas Fernandez | Lauren Nolan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lauren Nolan (rating 1477 vs 1560).
- Lauren Nolan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Olga Bienzobas Fernandez makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Olga Bienzobas Fernandez | Lauren Nolan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.6 | 12.2-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 53% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 66.3% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olga Bienzobas Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Lily Stohl UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Hannah Read UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Natalija Senic UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Natalie Cinkova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Karolina Krajmer UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Melisa Ercan W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/11 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/11 | Enya Hamilton UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Lauren Nolan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Alexandra Irina Anghel UTR Pro Columbia Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Alba Salles Canudas UTR Pro Columbia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Columbia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/10 | Rachael Phelan UTR Pro Columbia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/10 | Andrea Maria Artimedi UTR Pro Columbia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/08 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 27/08 | Stella Beldiman UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Louise Booker UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Valentina Vachkova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olga Bienzobas Fernandez vs Lauren Nolan?
Our model gives 63% to Lauren Nolan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.