Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · 07/11, 19:30
Prediction: Natalie Oliver vs Ela Plosnik
Team pages: Natalie Oliver
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalie Oliver
Ela Plosnik
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Natalie Oliver
4-6 (W-L)
Ela Plosnik
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Oliver 1525 · Ela Plosnik 1484
| Natalie Oliver | Ela Plosnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natalie Oliver (rating 1525 vs 1484).
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Ela Plosnik makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Oliver | Ela Plosnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.3 | 9.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 59% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Andjelija Markovic UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/11 | Alaina Lisanti UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Cylova Zuleyka Hukmasabiyya UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Addy Rogin UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Anastasija Adeikyte UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Reya Coe UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | Chloe Zigliara UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Sofia Rocchetti UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Ela Plosnik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Jimena Gomez UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/11 | Haylee Conway UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Celine Simunyu UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | Sofia Thorne UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Olivia Lincer W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Alja Senica W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Vita Kantoci W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/07 | Galatea Ferro W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 10/07 | Melisa Ercan W35 Don Benito |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Jordina Font W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Oliver vs Ela Plosnik?
Our model gives 52% to Ela Plosnik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.