Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · 06/11, 21:20
Prediction: Haylee Conway vs Sofia Thorne
Team pages: Haylee Conway · Sofia Thorne
Prediction summary
Winner
Haylee Conway
Sofia Thorne
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Haylee Conway
3-7 (W-L)
Sofia Thorne
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haylee Conway 1474 · Sofia Thorne 1544
| Haylee Conway | Sofia Thorne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Thorne (rating 1474 vs 1544).
Statistics
| Haylee Conway | Sofia Thorne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.1 | 11.2-9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 62.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haylee Conway
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Ela Plosnik UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Celine Simunyu UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Jimena Gomez UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Stella Beldiman UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Carla Grignac UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Pepper Rickert UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Chanel Scudiero UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Patsy Daughters UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Marta Giglio UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Sofia Thorne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Celine Simunyu UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Jimena Gomez UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/11 | Ela Plosnik UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Emi Dowdell UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Avery Olsen UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 10/09 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haylee Conway vs Sofia Thorne?
Our model gives 67% to Sofia Thorne, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.