Tennis · W100 Incheon · 01/11, 04:30
Prediction: Seo Yun Choi vs Aruzhan Sagandikova
Team pages: Seo Yun Choi · Aruzhan Sagandikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Seo Yun Choi
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Seo Yun Choi
4-6 (W-L)
Aruzhan Sagandikova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Seo Yun Choi 1466 · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1519
| Seo Yun Choi | Aruzhan Sagandikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aruzhan Sagandikova (rating 1466 vs 1519).
Statistics
| Seo Yun Choi | Aruzhan Sagandikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11 | 11-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seo Yun Choi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Ruien Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Yuka Matsumoto W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Jiyun Oh W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Jiho Shin W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 16/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Yu Shan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Fang An Lin W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/10 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Fang An Lin W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Moeka Miyata W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Kristiana Sidorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seo Yun Choi vs Aruzhan Sagandikova?
Our model gives 62% to Aruzhan Sagandikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.