Tennis · W100 Incheon · 01/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yiming Dang vs Valeria Savinykh
Team pages: Yiming Dang · Valeria Savinykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Yiming Dang
Valeria Savinykh
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Yiming Dang
5-5 (W-L)
Valeria Savinykh
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yiming Dang 1453 · Valeria Savinykh 1496
| Yiming Dang | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valeria Savinykh (rating 1453 vs 1496).
- Note: Yiming Dang makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Yiming Dang | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.8 | 10.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yiming Dang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Meiqi Guo W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Yekaterina Krupina W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Xiaodi You WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Jaeda Daniel WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Katherine Hui W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 30/07 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Capucine Jauffret W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Laura Mair WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Eleonora Alvisi WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Valeria Savinykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Arina Arifullina W35 Lagos |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Lagos |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Zi Ye Zhang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Sitong Chen W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 06/09 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Eri Shimizu W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yiming Dang vs Valeria Savinykh?
Our model gives 63% to Valeria Savinykh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.