Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 05/11, 17:00
Prediction: Nathan Pitts vs Gabriel Elicha Navas
Team pages: Nathan Pitts · Gabriel Elicha Navas
Prediction summary
Winner
Nathan Pitts
Gabriel Elicha Navas
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nathan Pitts
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriel Elicha Navas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nathan Pitts 1477 · Gabriel Elicha Navas 1518
| Nathan Pitts | Gabriel Elicha Navas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriel Elicha Navas (rating 1477 vs 1518).
- Note: Nathan Pitts makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Nathan Pitts | Gabriel Elicha Navas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 11.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 52% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nathan Pitts
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Connor Smillie UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/11 | Wesley Cotton UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 31/10 | Nicolas Cortes Campos UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 30/10 | Jacob Brisky UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Rohan Belday UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Mathis Bondaz UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Cole Henceroth UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Jacob Olar UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Gabriel Elicha Navas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Connor Smillie UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/11 | Nicolas Oliveira UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Tito Chavez M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Lukas Palovic UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Kasper Kulpa UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Szymon Malecki UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Felix Obermair UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Christopher Thies UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/11 | James Weber UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nathan Pitts vs Gabriel Elicha Navas?
Our model gives 58% to Gabriel Elicha Navas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.