Tennis · M25 Norman · 30/10, 16:00

Prediction: Tyler Zink vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez

Team pages: Tyler Zink · Johan Alexander Rodriguez

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Tyler Zink Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Tyler Zink 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLLW
Johan Alexander Rodriguez 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tyler Zink 1429 · Johan Alexander Rodriguez 1533
Tyler ZinkJohan Alexander Rodriguez
Our model35%65%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johan Alexander Rodriguez (rating 1429 vs 1533).
  • Johan Alexander Rodriguez is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Tyler ZinkJohan Alexander Rodriguez
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 14% (7) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.71.3-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-12.410.6-10.3
Aces6.12.9
Double faults1.32.2
1st serve %70.5%68.4%
Break %30.5%51.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tyler Zink

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Marko Mesarovic
M25 Norman
2-1 15-7 W
28/10 Charlie Swaine
M25 Norman
2-1 16-11 W
20/10 Jeffrey John Wolf
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/10 Benjamin Willwerth
M25 Austin
0-2 9-13 L
28/09 Mitchell Krueger
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
22/09 Federico Agustin Gomez
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/09 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
24/08 Luis Guto Miguel
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Valentin Royer
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/08 Lucas Andrade da Silva
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 18-16 W

Johan Alexander Rodriguez

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Khololwam Montsi
M25 Norman
1-0 6-1 W
28/10 Giles Hussey
M25 Norman
2-0 14-12 W
14/10 Dominick Mosejczuk
M25 Austin
0-2 8-12 L
13/10 Carel Aubriel Ngounoue
M25 Austin
2-1 8-7 W
02/10 Jonah Braswell
M15 Fayetteville
0-2 6-12 L
01/10 Alejandro Melero Kretzer
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 13-9 W
30/09 Jerry Roddick
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 12-7 W
18/09 Botic Van De Zandschulp
Davis Cup
1-2 12-17 L
30/07 Elijah Strode
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L
28/07 Jacob Brumm
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tyler Zink vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez?

Our model gives 52% to Johan Alexander Rodriguez, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.