Tennis · M25 Norman · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: Tyler Zink vs Marko Mesarovic
Team pages: Tyler Zink · Marko Mesarovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Tyler Zink
Marko Mesarovic
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tyler Zink
1-9 (W-L)
Marko Mesarovic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tyler Zink 1409 · Marko Mesarovic 1551
| Tyler Zink | Marko Mesarovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marko Mesarovic (rating 1409 vs 1551).
- Marko Mesarovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tyler Zink | Marko Mesarovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-13.2 | 11.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 27.4% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Charlie Swaine M25 Norman |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Benjamin Willwerth M25 Austin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Marko Mesarovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Vit Kalina M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Niccolo Baroni M25 Norman |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Christopher Thies M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moreno M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Oliver Bonding M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Danil Panarin M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Preston Stearns M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Zachary Viiala M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tyler Zink vs Marko Mesarovic?
Our model gives 54% to Tyler Zink, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.