Tennis · M25 Norman · 30/10, 16:00
Prediction: Alastair Gray vs Luca Pow
Team pages: Alastair Gray · Luca Pow
Prediction summary
Winner
Alastair Gray
Luca Pow
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alastair Gray
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Pow
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alastair Gray 1545 · Luca Pow 1513
| Alastair Gray | Luca Pow | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alastair Gray makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Alastair Gray | Luca Pow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.8 | 10.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alastair Gray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Norman |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Emanuel Ivanisevic M25 Norman |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Li Tu M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Spencer Johnson M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Luca Pow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Norman |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Kriish Tyagi M25 Norman |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Viktor Markov M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Felix Balshaw ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Ozan Baris M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alastair Gray vs Luca Pow?
Our model gives 61% to Alastair Gray, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.