Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 30/10, 17:00
Prediction: Ava Esposito Cogan vs Joanna Kennedy
Team pages: Ava Esposito Cogan · Joanna Kennedy
Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Esposito Cogan
Joanna Kennedy
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Esposito Cogan
6-4 (W-L)
Joanna Kennedy
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Esposito Cogan 1585 · Joanna Kennedy 1611
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Ava Esposito Cogan dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (9/match).
Statistics
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.6 | 13.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Lisa Kamigata UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Gabia Paskauskas UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Joanna Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Sarah Mildren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesca Mattioli UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Maria Sholokhova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Esposito Cogan vs Joanna Kennedy?
Our model gives 57% to Joanna Kennedy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.