Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: Francesca Mattioli vs Sarah Mildren
Team pages: Francesca Mattioli · Sarah Mildren
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Mattioli
Sarah Mildren
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Mattioli
5-5 (W-L)
Sarah Mildren
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Mattioli 1480 · Sarah Mildren 1447
| Francesca Mattioli | Sarah Mildren | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Mattioli | Sarah Mildren | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-14.5 | 10.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 7.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 60% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Lisa Kamigata UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/10 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/10 | Kaede Usui UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/10 | Edda Mamedova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Victoria Bosio W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Duru Soke W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Eva Maria Ionescu W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Sarah Mildren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Stefani Webb UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/10 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Chiara Di Genova UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Audelie Lesauvage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Alice Battesti UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Mattioli vs Sarah Mildren?
Our model gives 61% to Francesca Mattioli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.