Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 31/10, 13:00
Prediction: Kaede Usui vs Joanna Kennedy
Team pages: Kaede Usui · Joanna Kennedy
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaede Usui
Joanna Kennedy
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kaede Usui
3-7 (W-L)
Joanna Kennedy
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaede Usui 1519 · Joanna Kennedy 1578
| Kaede Usui | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joanna Kennedy (rating 1519 vs 1578).
- Joanna Kennedy is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kaede Usui | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10 | 13.1-9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 54.6% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaede Usui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Rinon Okuwaki UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 29/10 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/10 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Francesca Mattioli UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Hephzibah Oluwadare UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Prisha Lingam UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Milana Tsulygina UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Joanna Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Sarah Mildren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesca Mattioli UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Maria Sholokhova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaede Usui vs Joanna Kennedy?
Our model gives 70% to Joanna Kennedy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.