Prediction: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges
Team pages: Jan-Lennard Struff · Nuno Borges
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan-Lennard Struff
Nuno Borges
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan-Lennard Struff
8-2 (W-L)
Nuno Borges
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan-Lennard Struff
0–2
Nuno Borges
(2 last)
- 23 Jun0-2 9-13L
- 19 Mar0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan-Lennard Struff 1567 · Nuno Borges 1534
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan-Lennard Struff dominates on serve: 12.4 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Nuno Borges dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 45.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jan-Lennard Struff 0–2 Nuno Borges (2).
Statistics
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.1 | 12.2-12.3 |
| Aces | 12.4 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 80.3% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 25.5 · -2
Over 25.5: 36% · 1.83
Under 25.5: 64% · 1.83
H2H · Jan-Lennard Struff 0 – 2 Nuno Borges (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan-Lennard Struff 0–2 Nuno Borges
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 ATP Mallorca | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/03/23 Challenger Phoenix | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 28/10 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Marcos Giron ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Mika Brunold ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Thanasi Kokkinakis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges?
Our model gives 57% to Jan-Lennard Struff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.