Prediction: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
Team pages: Ben Shelton · Jerome Kym
Prediction summary
Winner
Ben Shelton
Jerome Kym
Estimated games
26.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ben Shelton
4-6 (W-L)
Jerome Kym
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ben Shelton 1568 · Jerome Kym 1565
| Ben Shelton | Jerome Kym | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Ben Shelton dominates on serve: 12.8 aces and 40.2% break avg.
- Jerome Kym dominates on serve: 10.1 aces and 44.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Ben Shelton | Jerome Kym | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.7-16.4 | 14.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 12.8 | 10.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +3.4
Over 23.5: 72% · 2.00
Under 23.5: 28% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ben Shelton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 11/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 12/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
Jerome Kym
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 01/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Tiago Torres Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Dan Added US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym?
Our model gives 65% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.