Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 30/10, 12:00
Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
Team pages: Lilli Tagger · Han Shi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Han Shi
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
5-5 (W-L)
Han Shi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1519 · Han Shi 1576
| Lilli Tagger | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1519 vs 1576).
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.8 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 46% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Magda Linette WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Venus Williams WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Tereza Valentova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Korpatsch US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Alina Korneeva WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexandra Eala WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Peyton Stearns WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Renata Zarazua WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Yidi Yang WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi?
Our model gives 59% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.