Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 30/10, 09:00
Prediction: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu
Team pages: Xinran Sun · Claire Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinran Sun
Claire Liu
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Xinran Sun
6-4 (W-L)
Claire Liu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinran Sun 1536 · Claire Liu 1535
| Xinran Sun | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Xinran Sun | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.6 | 11.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinran Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Coco Gauff WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Luna Vujovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Nadja Mladenovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Magda Linette WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Kanon Sawashiro WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu?
Our model gives 56% to Claire Liu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.