Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 30/10, 08:00
Prediction: Gijs Brouwer vs Benoit Torcq
Team pages: Gijs Brouwer · Benoit Torcq
Prediction summary
Winner
Gijs Brouwer
Benoit Torcq
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gijs Brouwer
4-6 (W-L)
Benoit Torcq
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gijs Brouwer 1454 · Benoit Torcq 1537
| Gijs Brouwer | Benoit Torcq | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benoit Torcq (rating 1454 vs 1537).
- Benoit Torcq is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gijs Brouwer | Benoit Torcq | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-13.3 | 10.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gijs Brouwer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Benoit Torcq
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Joaquin Benoit M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Adrien Burdet M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Raul Clarijs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Pieter De Lange M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/10 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Nicolas Robert M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Jack Loge M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gijs Brouwer vs Benoit Torcq?
Our model gives 56% to Gijs Brouwer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.