Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 30/10, 08:00
Prediction: Jake Delaney vs Liam Broady
Team pages: Jake Delaney · Liam Broady
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Delaney
Liam Broady
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Delaney
5-5 (W-L)
Liam Broady
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Delaney 1522 · Liam Broady 1458
| Jake Delaney | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Delaney (rating 1522 vs 1458).
- Jake Delaney dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 45.1% break avg.
- Jake Delaney is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Liam Broady makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Jake Delaney | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.5 | 12.3-13.6 |
| Aces | 9.8 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 79.4% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Liam Broady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 27/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ozan Baris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Delaney vs Liam Broady?
Our model gives 54% to Liam Broady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.