Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 30/10, 05:00
Prediction: Mert Alkaya vs Yu Hsiou Hsu
Team pages: Mert Alkaya · Yu Hsiou Hsu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mert Alkaya
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mert Alkaya
5-5 (W-L)
Yu Hsiou Hsu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mert Alkaya 1546 · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1527
| Mert Alkaya | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mert Alkaya | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.1 | 12-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Rigele Te Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Ko Suzuki M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Davis Cup |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mohammad Alkotop Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mert Alkaya vs Yu Hsiou Hsu?
Our model gives 52% to Yu Hsiou Hsu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.